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War & Conflict1h 55m ago
Financial institutions are utilizing new predictive models, adapted from natural catastrophe methodologies, to forecast military conflicts and geopolitical risks.
Global
Who
Wall Street, investors, banks, insurers, Sam Haynes (Verisk Maplecroft), Chris Boylan (Verisk Maplecroft), Anthony Vassalo (RAND Forecasting Initiative), Krishan Sharma (Citi), Gordon Woo (Moody's), Tina Fordham (Fordham Global Foresight), Allianz
What
Financial institutions are utilizing new predictive models, adapted from natural catastrophe methodologies, to forecast military conflicts and geopolitical risks.
When
Sun, 14 Jun 2026 09:32:31 GMT · 1h 55m ago
Where
Global ·
Why
The number of countries in external conflicts has nearly doubled since 2008, causing significant economic impact and rendering traditional risk models inadequate.
The Frontline Impact
How this affects you
The finance industry, including investors, banks, and insurers, is adopting advanced models to better predict military conflicts and geopolitical shifts, which are increasingly disrupting global markets and supply chains. This shift reflects a growing recognition that traditional historical data-based models are insufficient to navigate the current era of accelerating geopolitical volatility and its economic consequences.
Story chain
3 events in this thread- Currently Reading1h 55m agoFinancial institutions are utilizing new predictive models, adapted from natural catastrophe methodologies, to forecast military conflicts and geopolitical risks.
- War & Conflict1h 55m agoWall Street is increasingly adopting catastrophe models, traditionally used for natural disasters, to predict military conflicts and their financial impacts, as traditional risk models are becoming insufficient.Open article
- War & Conflict1h 55m agoWall Street is adapting natural catastrophe modeling methodologies to predict military conflicts for investors, banks, and insurers, as the number of countries engaged in external conflicts has nearly doubled since 2008 and the economic impact of violence reached almost $22 trillion.Open article
Verified Sources & Citations
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