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Economics2h 17m ago

India's headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Q1FY27 is expected to undershoot the RBI's 4.2 per cent forecast, with the May print at 3.93 per cent year-on-year.

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New Delhi, India

Who
Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Yes Securities
What
India's headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Q1FY27 is expected to undershoot the RBI's 4.2 per cent forecast, with the May print at 3.93 per cent year-on-year.
When
Sat, 13 Jun 2026 03:18:30 GMT · 2h 17m ago
Where
New Delhi, India ·
Why
Yes Securities anticipates lower average inflation due to the May CPI print and benign base effects, giving the RBI more room to hold rates.
The Frontline Impact

How this affects you

This trajectory suggests the RBI may delay interest rate hikes, but rising food and fuel prices, particularly due to the El Nino threat, could alter this outlook in the second half of the fiscal year, affecting economic stability and consumer purchasing power in India.

Story chain

15 events in this thread
  1. Economics2h 17m ago
    India's inflation trajectory is giving the Reserve Bank of India more room to hold rates through Q1FY27, but food and fuel risks could still flip the script in H2.
    Open article
  2. Currently Reading2h 17m ago
    India's headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Q1FY27 is expected to undershoot the RBI's 4.2 per cent forecast, with the May print at 3.93 per cent year-on-year.
  3. Economics4h 3m ago
    Retail inflation in India rose to 3.9% in May 2026, driven by food and transport costs, but remained below the RBI's 4% target.
    Open article
  4. Economics4h 3m ago
    Retail inflation in India rose to 3.9% in May 2026, driven by food and transport, but remained below the RBI's 4% target.
    Open article
  5. Economics4h 3m ago
    Retail inflation in India rose to 3.9% in May 2026, driven by increases in food and transport costs, according to data released by the statistics ministry.
    Open article
  6. Economics4h 3m ago
    Retail inflation in India rose to 3.9% in May 2026, driven by higher food and transport costs, according to data released Friday by the statistics ministry.
    Open article
  7. Economics5h 6m ago
    India's retail inflation rose to 3.93 per cent in May from 3.48 per cent in April.
    Open article
  8. Economics5h 6m ago
    India's retail inflation rose to 3.93 per cent in May from 3.48 per cent in April.
    Open article
  9. Economics5h 6m ago
    India's retail inflation rose to 3.93 per cent in May from 3.48 per cent in April, according to data released by the National Statistics Office (NSO).
    Open article
  10. Economics5h 6m ago
    India's retail inflation rose to 3.93 per cent in May from 3.48 per cent in April, according to data released by the National Statistics Office (NSO) on Friday.
    Open article
  11. Economics5h 7m ago
    Retail inflation based on the consumer price index (CPI) inched up for the fourth consecutive month to 3.9% in May from 3.5% in April.
    Open article
  12. Economics5h 7m ago
    Retail inflation based on the consumer price index (CPI) in India increased for the fourth consecutive month to 3.9% in May from 3.5% in April.
    Open article
  13. Economics5h 7m ago
    Retail inflation based on consumer price index (CPI) inched up for the fourth consecutive month to 3.9% in May from 3.5% in April.
    Open article
  14. Economics6h 52m ago
    India's retail inflation rose to 3.93 per cent in May from 3.48 per cent in April.
    Open article
  15. Economics6h 52m ago
    India's retail inflation rose to 3.93 per cent in May from 3.48 per cent in April.
    Open article

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