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ICICI Bank Global Markets predicts inflation will reach 5.0 percent in FY27 with core inflation at 4.6 percent, based on a June 12, 2026 report.
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India
Who
ICICI Bank Global Markets
What
ICICI Bank Global Markets predicts inflation will reach 5.0 percent in FY27 with core inflation at 4.6 percent, based on a June 12, 2026 report.
When
Sat, 13 Jun 2026 09:54:16 GMT · 5h 4m ago
Where
India ·
Why
The prediction is due to the West Asia conflict and a below-normal monsoon, which are identified as keeping upside risks to inflation alive.
The Frontline Impact
How this affects you
Persistent inflationary pressures, exacerbated by geopolitical conflict and weather-related agricultural risks, could lead to tighter monetary policy through interest rate hikes, affecting economic growth and consumer spending in India.
Story chain
6 events in this thread- Markets59m agoThe war in the Middle East has rattled oil markets, disrupted energy supplies, and fueled global inflationary pressures.Open article
- Markets59m agoThe war in the Middle East rattled oil markets, disrupted energy supplies and fueled global inflationary pressures.Open article
- Currently Reading5h 4m agoICICI Bank Global Markets predicts inflation will reach 5.0 percent in FY27 with core inflation at 4.6 percent, based on a June 12, 2026 report.
- Markets5h 4m agoICICI Bank Global Markets noted in its June 12, 2026 report that inflation moved to a 16-month high, with CPI rising to 3.94 percent year-over-year in May from 3.48 percent in April.Open article
- Markets5h 45m agoICICI Bank Global Markets forecasts inflation to rise to 5.0 percent in FY27 with core at 4.6 percent, driven by the West Asia conflict and a below-normal monsoon.Open article
- Markets5h 45m agoInflation is headed higher to 5.0 per cent in FY27 with core at 4.6 per cent, ICICI Bank Global Markets said, as West Asia conflict and a below-normal monsoon keep upside risks alive.Open article
Verified Sources & Citations
- HIGHThe Tribunehttps://www.tribuneindia.com/news/business/inflation-seen-at-5-in-fy27-50-75-bps-rate-hikes-likely-as-food-and-fuel-risks-build-report/
- HIGHThe Hindu Business Linehttps://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/inflation-seen-at-5-in-fy27-50-75-bps-rate-hikes-likely-icici-bank-global-markets/article71097181.ece
- HIGHPOLITICOhttps://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/13/the-elephant-in-the-room-trumps-iran-war-looms-over-g7-00960768