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Health & Science4h 21m ago

Professor David Kipping of Columbia University and head of its Cool Worlds Lab has proposed a new model, the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture," which suggests that the spontaneous rate of intelligent life emerging must be extremely low, on the order of one in a million galaxies over cosmic history, to be consistent with the observation that the universe is not largely "infected" by advanced civilizations.

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Columbia University

Who
David Kipping, Michael Hart, Frank Tipler
What
Professor David Kipping of Columbia University and head of its Cool Worlds Lab has proposed a new model, the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture," which suggests that the spontaneous rate of intelligent life emerging must be extremely low, on the order of one in a million galaxies over cosmic history, to be consistent with the observation that the universe is not largely "infected" by advanced civilizations.
When
Sat, 13 Jun 2026 23:30:02 GMT · 4h 21m ago
Where
Columbia University ·
Why
Kipping's model addresses the Fermi Paradox (also known as the Hart-Tipler Conjecture), which questions why, if extraterrestrial civilizations exist and can colonize, they have not reached Earth.
The Frontline Impact

How this affects you

This new model implies a very disturbing possibility: humanity could be alone in the universe, or at least, the probability of encountering other advanced civilizations is far lower than previously considered.

Story chain

6 events in this thread
  1. Health & Science4h 21m ago
    Professor David Kipping of Columbia University offers a new model, the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture" (CH-TC), which suggests that the spontaneous emergence of intelligent life must be staggeringly rare to account for the absence of galactic "infections."
    Open article
  2. Health & Science4h 21m ago
    Professor David Kipping of Columbia University and the head of its Cool Worlds Lab offers a new take on this hypothesis known as the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture" (CH-TC).
    Open article
  3. Health & Science4h 21m ago
    Professor David Kipping of Columbia University and its Cool Worlds Lab has proposed a new model, the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture," that suggests very tight constraints on the possible existence of technological civilizations in the universe.
    Open article
  4. Currently Reading4h 21m ago
    Professor David Kipping of Columbia University and head of its Cool Worlds Lab has proposed a new model, the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture," which suggests that the spontaneous rate of intelligent life emerging must be extremely low, on the order of one in a million galaxies over cosmic history, to be consistent with the observation that the universe is not largely "infected" by advanced civilizations.
  5. Health & Science4h 21m ago
    Professor David Kipping of Columbia University and the head of its Cool Worlds Lab offers a new take on the Hart-Tipler Conjecture, known as the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture."
    Open article
  6. Health & Science4h 21m ago
    Professor David Kipping of Columbia University's Cool Worlds Lab has proposed a new model, the "Cosmological Hart-Tipler Conjecture" (CH-TC), which suggests that if "artificial infections" (like Von Neumann probes) spawn more frequently than 1 in 100,000 galaxies, then 99.9% of the universe would be infected for a 0.1c infection wave speed, leading to a "staggeringly tight observational constraint on alien behavior."
    Open article

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