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Economics2h 15m ago
Economists have dialed back expectations for interest rate hikes in India as inflation is expected to remain moderate.
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India
Who
Reserve Bank of India, economists
What
Economists have dialed back expectations for interest rate hikes in India as inflation is expected to remain moderate.
When
Tue, 14 Jul 2026 09:42:00 GMT · 2h 15m ago
Where
India ·
Why
Retail inflation rose to 4.38% in June, exceeding the RBI's target, but core inflation remained around 4%, suggesting a lower annual average and reducing the immediate need for policy tightening.
The Frontline Impact
How this affects you
The Reserve Bank of India may not tighten monetary policy soon. Future rate hikes are contingent on sustained core inflation exceeding 4.5%.
Story chain
5 events in this thread- Economics46m agoCrisil projects India's retail inflation at 5.1% in FY27 and suggests the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may increase interest rates by 25 basis points if price pressures continue.Open article
- Currently Reading2h 15m agoEconomists have dialed back expectations for interest rate hikes in India as inflation is expected to remain moderate.
- Economics2h 33m agoRetail inflation in India is projected to increase through the fiscal year 2027, driven by elevated fuel costs and input prices.Open article
- Economics2h 39m agoIndia's retail inflation is expected to average 5.1% in FY27, with Crisil Ratings seeing a possibility of a 25 basis points Reserve Bank of India rate hike.Open article
- Economics2h 39m agoIndia's retail inflation is projected to average 5.1% in fiscal year 2027, with Crisil Ratings suggesting a potential 25 basis point hike in the Reserve Bank of India's policy rate.Open article
Verified Sources & Citations
- HIGHThe Tribunehttps://www.tribuneindia.com/news/business/indias-retail-inflation-may-average-5-1-in-fy27-crisil-sees-possibility-of-25-bps-rbi-rate-hike/
- HIGHThe Economic Timeshttps://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/retail-inflation-may-harden-in-fy27-rbi-could-hike-rates-crisil/articleshow/132387049.cms
- HIGHThe Economic Timeshttps://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/citi-others-dial-back-india-rate-hike-calls-as-inflation-expected-to-stay-moderate/articleshow/132387513.cms
- HIGHOutlook Businesshttps://www.outlookbusiness.com/economy-and-policy/fuel-food-prices-to-keep-inflation-elevated-crisil-sees-25-bps-rbi-hike