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47· Steady
Markets2h 19m ago
Crypto perpetual contracts are pricing a 22% Day-1 jump for the SpaceX IPO, while Polymarket traders are less convinced.
Archive Window: 30 Days Left
Nasdaq, US
Who
crypto traders, Polymarket traders, retail investors, Elon Musk
What
Crypto perpetual contracts are pricing a 22% Day-1 jump for the SpaceX IPO, while Polymarket traders are less convinced.
When
Thu, 11 Jun 2026 18:43:11 GMT · 2h 19m ago
Where
Nasdaq, US ·
Why
Two different prediction markets have differing expectations for the initial performance of the SpaceX IPO.
The Frontline Impact
How this affects you
The discrepancy between crypto perp and Polymarket predictions for SpaceX's IPO indicates varied speculative interest, with implications for retail investors looking at related platforms like Robinhood and Coinbase.
Story chain
13 events in this thread- Markets1h 17m agoSpaceX is set to make the largest IPO ever on the Nasdaq, pricing shares at $135 each for a valuation nearing $1.8 trillion.Open article
- Markets1h 51m agoPresident Donald Trump announced the suspension of US military strikes on Iran, citing progress in peace negotiations.Open article
- Markets2h 15m agoPlanet Labs PBC shares are climbing Thursday as rotation into commercial space stocks builds ahead of SpaceX's historic IPO.Open article
- Currently Reading2h 19m agoCrypto perpetual contracts are pricing a 22% Day-1 jump for the SpaceX IPO, while Polymarket traders are less convinced.
- Markets2h 28m agoStocks surged and oil prices tumbled after Donald Trump called off planned attacks against Iran, backing down from earlier threats.Open article
- Markets2h 29m agoUS stocks are rallying, and oil prices are falling Thursday after President Donald Trump said he called off his threat to bomb Iran in the evening.Open article
- Markets2h 31m agoUS oil prices collapsed below $87 with WTI crude dropping nearly 3% after President Trump canceled planned Iran strikes.Open article
- Markets2h 46m agoSpace stocks, led by Momentus and Virgin Galactic, rallied ahead of SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut.Open article
- Markets2h 47m agoUS stocks rallied and oil prices fell after President Donald Trump called off a threat to bomb Iran, raising hopes for a deal that could get the global flow of crude going again.Open article
- Markets3h 27m agoIran warned the US that attacks on its energy infrastructure, specifically Kharg Island, could destabilize global energy markets and lead to severe consequences.Open article
- Markets3h 42m agoPresident Trump said on Thursday that the US will launch additional attacks on Iran for a second day in a row and threatened to take over Iran’s energy and oil infrastructure.Open article
- Markets4h 22m agoRetail investors are selling top AI-performing stocks, especially semiconductors like Micron Technology, Inc. and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., to raise cash for the SpaceX IPO scheduled for Friday.Open article
- Markets4h 32m agoThe European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, June 11, marking its first rate increase since 2023.Open article
Verified Sources & Citations
- HIGHCNBC TV18https://www.cnbctv18.com/business/top-10-stories-ecb-rate-hike-spacex-ipo-on-friday-fifa-world-cup-kicks-off-and-more-19924040.htm
- HIGHBenzingahttps://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/26/06/53148534/retail-is-cashing-out-of-micron-amd-ai-stocks-ahead-of-spacex-ipo
- HIGHThe Gateway Pundithttps://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2026/06/video-trump-says-us-will-hit-iran-very/
- HIGHFirstposthttps://www.firstpost.com/world/impulsive-decisions-will-reset-entire-board-for-worse-iran-warns-us-over-kharg-island-threat-14021485.html
- HIGHNews18https://www.news18.com/agency-feeds/us-stocks-jump-oil-prices-fall-after-trump-calls-off-threat-to-attack-iran-10144190.html
- HIGHBenzingahttps://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/26/06/53152039/houston-we-have-a-rally-space-stocks-pop-ahead-of-spacex-debut
- HIGHThe Economic Timeshttps://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/why-crude-oil-markets-suddenly-reversed-course-today-us-oil-prices-collapse-below-87-after-trump-cancels-iran-strike-plans-wti-crude-drops-3/articleshow/131666914.cms
- HIGHCNBC TV18https://www.cnbctv18.com/world/us-stocks-jump-oil-prices-fall-after-trump-calls-off-threat-to-attack-iran-ws-l-19924096.htm
- HIGHBusiness Insiderhttps://www.businessinsider.com/stocks-surging-today-after-trump-calls-off-fresh-iran-attacks-2026-6
- HIGHBenzingahttps://www.benzinga.com/markets/prediction-markets/26/06/53152727/crypto-perps-say-spacex-pops-22-on-launch-but-prediction-markets-disagree
- HIGHBenzingahttps://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/26/06/53152877/planet-labs-stock-skyrockets-ahead-of-spacexs-friday-ipo
- HIGHDevdiscoursehttps://www.devdiscourse.com/article/politics/3933981-trump-halts-strikes-as-us-iran-peace-deal-nears-completion
- HIGHThe Economic Timeshttps://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/us-stocks-spacex-to-make-historic-listing-on-nasdaq-on-friday-that-could-make-elon-musk-a-trillionaire/articleshow/131668501.cms