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Economics3h 41m ago
CPI inflation is projected to settle in the range of 5.2 per cent–5.5 per cent in FY27.
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New Delhi
Who
economist Dipanwita Mazumdar, Bank of Baroda Research
What
CPI inflation is projected to settle in the range of 5.2 per cent–5.5 per cent in FY27.
When
Sun, 14 Jun 2026 05:13:04 GMT · 3h 41m ago
Where
New Delhi ·
Why
The projection assumes some impact from El Nino and an average crude oil price of $90–100 per barrel, with inflationary risks from higher fuel costs and weather-related uncertainties.
The Frontline Impact
How this affects you
The anticipated El Nino event raises concerns for India's food and fuel prices, potentially leading to increased inflation and affecting consumer purchasing power in the near term and into fiscal year 2027.
Story chain
6 events in this thread- Economics1h 48m agoIndia's economy presented mixed signals this week, including a surprise current account surplus in the March quarter and a rise in retail inflation in May.Open article
- Economics1h 48m agoIndia’s economy offered mixed signals this week, including a surprise current account surplus in the March quarter, steady global confidence in India’s growth prospects, and a sharp rise in corporate debt raising after the Reserve Bank of India’s recent measures.Open article
- Economics1h 48m agoIndia's economy showed mixed signals this week, including a surprise current account surplus in the March quarter and a sharp rise in corporate debt raising, but also pressure points like increased retail inflation in May.Open article
- Currently Reading3h 41m agoCPI inflation is projected to settle in the range of 5.2 per cent–5.5 per cent in FY27.
- Economics3h 41m agoThere is 80 per cent likelihood of an El Nino event during the June–August period, with probabilities to continue until at least November near or above 90 per cent.Open article
- Economics3h 41m agoCPI inflation is projected to settle in the range of 5.2 per cent–5.5 per cent in FY27, assuming some impact from El Nino and an average crude oil price of $90–100 per barrel.Open article
Verified Sources & Citations
- HIGHLokmat Timeshttps://www.lokmattimes.com/technology/el-nino-likely-to-impact-food-prices-inflation-projected-to-settle-in-52-55-pc-range-in-fy27-2/
- HIGHLokmat Timeshttps://www.lokmattimes.com/national/el-nino-likely-to-impact-food-prices-inflation-projected-to-settle-in-52-55-pc-range-in-fy27/
- HIGHBusiness Standardhttps://www.business-standard.com/economy/news/weekly-economy-wrap-inflation-current-account-growth-forecasts-126061400239_1.html